US labour market trends weaken, SA’s GDP picks up marginally

Loading player...
The US August labour market report was mixed. It showed an improvement in the unemployment rate to 4.2% from 4.3% in July, but the number of jobs created was below the monthly average. Whether the US Fed will cut interest rates by 25 bps or 50 bps later this month to stimulate the economy is under debate. STANLIB believes a 25 bps cut is most likely, followed by a series of others.
In Q2 2024, SA’s GDP grew by 0.4% q/q, better than the zero rate of growth in Q1, but still very weak. Growth was driven by higher electricity production, financial services and retail spending post-election. While there is no sign of broad-based growth, looming interest rate cuts, the cash released from the two-pot retirement system and public-private partnerships may stimulate the economy next year.
Click here to listen to the podcast.
9 Sep 2024 English South Africa Investing · Business News

Other recent episodes

SARB makes cautious 25 bps rate cut but next US rate cut is uncertain

In this podcast, STANLIB’s Chief Economist, Kevin Lings, considers the factors that are restraining SA’s inflation rate and have influenced the Reserve Bank in cutting the benchmark interest rate by 25 bps at its latest meeting. He also analyses latest US jobs data, which showed an increase in unemployment to…
24 Nov 16 min

Will AI boom become AI bust?

In the seventh episode of our “The More You Know” series, Mark Lovett, STANLIB Head of Investments, shares his experience of other market bubbles to help put the current AI hype into context. He emphasises the need for investors to identify the winners and losers in this new technology wave…
18 Nov 21 min

S&P surprises with positive outlook for SA

In this podcast, STANLIB’s Chief Economist, Kevin Lings, examines the reasons why S&P decided to revise SA’s credit rating from BB- to BB, while Fitch kept its rating unchanged. SA’s weak GDP growth rate remains a concern for all credit rating agencies but while S&P took a more positive view,…
17 Nov 16 min

Seven positive aspects of the MTBPS that will encourage investors

In this podcast, STANLIB Asset Management Chief Economist, Kevin Lings, explores seven key positive aspects of the Medium-Term Budget Policy Statement (MTBPS) that indicate government finances are moving into a better position. These points will encourage both investors and credit rating agencies. He also discusses the implications of SA moving…
12 Nov 20 min