Bonds and currencies respond positively to MTBPS
--:--
The government’s progress on fiscal consolidation and management of the debt trajectory is an improvement on the projections made in the February National Budget, says STANLIB’s Head of Fixed Income, Victor Mphaphuli.
This is particularly encouraging, given the fears in 2020 that SA may have to resort to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for assistance.
The main risks lie in whether the government can deliver on its promises, setting future GDP growth on a higher path. Current growth projections are low, and will not deliver much-needed jobs, warns STANLIB Chief Economist, Kevin Lings.
SA’s fixed interest markets responded positively to the downward revision in the debt to GDP ratio with compression in longer-dated yields against shorter-dated yields, while the currency strengthened. However, Mphaphuli expects the credit rating agencies will adopt a “wait and see” approach to the promises made.
This is particularly encouraging, given the fears in 2020 that SA may have to resort to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for assistance.
The main risks lie in whether the government can deliver on its promises, setting future GDP growth on a higher path. Current growth projections are low, and will not deliver much-needed jobs, warns STANLIB Chief Economist, Kevin Lings.
SA’s fixed interest markets responded positively to the downward revision in the debt to GDP ratio with compression in longer-dated yields against shorter-dated yields, while the currency strengthened. However, Mphaphuli expects the credit rating agencies will adopt a “wait and see” approach to the promises made.