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08
AUG
10am

Who Will Win in 2020?

Ahead of the U.S. presidential election in November, numerous public opinion polls show presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden leading President Donald Trump.While polls can reflect how popular a candidate is at a point in time, they don’t always accurately predict the election result.VOA spoke to experts Allan Lichtman and Helmut Norpoth, both of whom have called the outcome of the election based on their own prediction models. Here are their verdicts, which both scholars declared as “final.”Allan LichtmanAllan Lichtman, Professor of History at American University, Washington, DC has correctly predicted all presidential election results since 1984 except for Gore-Bush 2000. (Courtesy photo)Professor of History at American University, Washington, DC.Track record:Lichtman has correctly predicted all presidential election results since 1984. In 2000, he forecast that Al Gore would win the election, and stands by that prediction. Gore won the popular vote but lost the presidency to George W. Bush after the Supreme Court ruled to stop the recount after a long dispute over inconclusive ballots cast in Florida. Lichtman has since adjusted his metrics to call the candidate with the most electoral votes, not the candidate with the most popular votes. Lichtman also predicted Trump’s impeachment.Prediction: Biden wins.Methodology: Keys to the White House  Lichtman uses a series of 13 “keys” in the form of true or false questions. A "true" answer earns a point for the incumbent, while a "false" answer earns a point for the challenger. The keys predict that the candidate with the most points will win the election.Those keys and their answers for the 2020 race, according to Lichtman are:1.    The incumbent’s party gained house seats between midterm elections – FALSE2.    There is no primary contest for the incumbent’s party – TRUE3.    The incumbent is running for reelection – TRUE4.    There is no third-party challenger – TRUE5.    The short-term economy is strong – FALSE6.    The long-term economic growth during the incumbent’s term has been as good as the past two terms – FALSE7.    The incumbent has made major changes to national policy – TRUE8.    There is no social unrest during the incumbent’s term – FALSE9.    The incumbent is untainted by scandal – FALSE10.   The incumbent has no major foreign or military failures abroad – TRUE11.   The incumbent has a major foreign or military success abroad – FALSE12.   The incumbent is charismatic – FALSE13.   The challenger is uncharismatic – TRUETotal: Incumbent 6 points, Challenger 7 points.Caveat:Lichtman said his ...
07
AUG
11pm

She Lost Her Father to COVID-19, Then She and Her Family Got the Virus

Meet Cynthia Reyes whose family has been living a nightmare. Reyes recently lost her father to COVID-19. With no time to mourn, the 35-year old woman who has diabetes, asthma, and rheumatoid arthritis also got the virus, along with family members. Reyes lives in California's Imperial County, a farming region along the Mexican border with one of the state's highest coronavirus infection rates. VOA’s Mariama Diallo has this report.
07
AUG
3pm

School Teachers in US Protest Going Back to Classrooms

In early August, thousands of parents, educators, students, and community members took to the streets in over 25 U.S. states to call for safe and equitable schools.  The protests, organized as a National Day of Resistance, were called to raise concerns that with the coronavirus still spreading reopening schools for in-person learning is dangerous.  The issue has become political, with pressure growing from the White House and many state governors to reopen the classrooms.  Nina Vishneva has this report narrated by Anna Rice on the demonstrations in New York City. Camera:  Max Avloshenko, Alex Barash, Olga Terekhin
05
AUG
12pm

Rural County at US Mexico Border Hit Hard with COVID

Texas, the second-largest state in the U.S., continues to fight new cases of COVID-19. One rural county called Starr at the Texas-Mexico border has been facing challenges that are different from those of more urban areas. VOA’s Elizabeth Lee has the details.VIDEOGRAPHER: Storyhunter stringer    
05
AUG
10am

What Makes This Texas Community COVID-Free?

Texas ranks third in the number of COVID-19 cases in the U.S. While most of the state is fighting the disease, one county in northwest Texas has no cases among its residents. But life is still not completely normal there. VOA’s Elizabeth Lee has their story.  Camera: Jeremy Gossett  Produced by: Elizabeth Lee
 
05
AUG
10am

US ‘Black Lives Matter’ Protests Drive Global Online Race Debate

The death of 46-year-old Black man George Floyd in Minneapolis police custody in May triggered waves of protests across the United States and the world. As Henry Ridgwell reports from London, new research shows how events in the U.S. drove debates surrounding race on social media across the globe.PRODUCER: Rod James
05
AUG
10am

Famous NYC Public Library Lions Put on Masks

The distance between the two large stone lions that guard the entrance to New York's Public Library is well over two meters. But the statues were recently given face masks as a symbol that everyone must do their part to keep everyone safe during the COVID-19 pandemic. VOA's Elena Wolf reports from New York.Camera: Max Avloshenko
04
AUG
8pm

Key Senators Say US Policy Towards Venezuela is Failing

U.S. lawmakers on Tuesday had tough questions for the U.S. special representative for Venezuela, asking why the Trump administration has not done more to stop Russia, China, Iran and Cuba from propping up Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro. Under Maduro, more than five million Venezuelans have fled their once prosperous country. VOA's Diplomatic Correspondent Cindy Saine reports from Washington.Produced by: Rob Raffaele 
03
AUG
10am

Film Highlights Need for More Female Police Officers, Less Violence

The death of African American George Floyd in May while in Minneapolis police custody has renewed conversations about whether having more women in law enforcement may lower the use of excessive force.  “Women in Blue,” a recent documentary by Deidre Fishel showcases de-escalation skills by female police officers at the Minneapolis police department. It also spotlights challenges women face in a traditionally male-dominated field. VOA’s Penelope Poulou has more.
 
02
AUG
3pm

Gridlock on Capitol Hill Delays COVID Stimulus Bill

More than four and a half million coronavirus infections have been confirmed in the United States, and June statistics show unemployment is at over 11%. Senate Republicans and House Democrats remain at odds over a relief bill for Americans. VOA’s Esha Sarai has more.
01
AUG
12am

Massive Fall in US Economic Output – Worst Ever Recorded

The U.S. Gross Domestic Product contracted 9.5% in the second quarter, the worst drop ever recorded according to data published by the Department of Commerce. The massive fall in economic output comes as the country experiences a surge in coronavirus cases that has forced many states to tap the brakes on reopening plans in an effort to again slow the spread of the disease. VOA correspondent Mariama Diallo reports.
Camera: Skype
Produced by: Kim Weeks
31
JUL
10pm

US Health Experts: COVID-19 Vaccine Could be Ready by 2021

The United States has passed the marker of 150,000 deaths from COVID-19, as some spots around the country continue to see rising case numbers. The political, economic and public health crises are a source of ongoing concern for lawmakers. But the nation’s top health experts did have some encouraging news Friday, telling a congressional panel that development of a vaccine for the virus is proceeding rapidly. VOA's Congressional Correspondent Katherine Gypson has more from Washington.
Produced by: Katherine Gypson

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